VolRC RAS scientific journal
RuEn

Journal section "Science, technology and innovation studies"

Scenario Modeling and Forecasting of the Spatial Heterogeneity of Innovation Development in Russia

Naumov I.V., Nikulina N.L.

Volume 16, Issue 4, 2023

Naumov I.V., Nikulina N.L. (2023). Scenario modeling and forecasting of the spatial heterogeneity of innovation development in Russia. Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast, 16(4), 71–87. DOI: 10.15838/esc.2023.4.88.4

DOI: 10.15838/esc.2023.4.88.4

Abstract   |   Authors   |   References
  1. Antunes M.A.M. (2016). Regional innovation heterogeneity in Europe: A Quantile Regression Analysis. Final Work in the form of Dissertation, Católica Porto Business School, 42.
  2. Blanco F.A., Delgado F.J., Presno M.J. (2020). R&D expenditure in the EU: Convergence or divergence? Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 33(1), 1685–1710. DOI: 10.1080/1331677X.2020.1756371
  3. Degtyarev P.A. (2020). Influence of socio-economic factors on innovative development of regions and implementation of technological initiatives. Finansovye issledovaniya, 1(66), 71–77 (in Russian).
  4. Donichev O.A., Fraimovich D.Yu., Grachev S.A. (2018). Regional system of economic and social factors in the formation of innovation development resources. Ekonomicheskie i sotsial'nye peremeny: fakty, tendentsii, prognoz=Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast, 11(3), 84–99 (in Russian).
  5. Dugarzhapova M.A., Zhalsaraeva E.A. (2020). Models and mechanisms of spatial development: Innovation aspect. Vestnik Altaiskoi akademii ekonomiki i prava, 8, 175–185 (in Russian).
  6. Filatov V.V. (2014). Forecasting of development of the market of innovations sectoral economic systems in conditions of uncertainty of the environment. Nauchnyi zhurnal NIU ITMO. Seriya “Ekonomika i ekologicheskii menedzhment”=Scientific Journal NRU ITMO. Series “Economics and Environmental Management”, 3, 576–584 (in Russian).
  7. Golova I.M., Sukhovey A.F. (2017). Development of innovative component for the region’s economic security. Ekonomika regiona,13(4), 1251–1263 (in Russian).
  8. Granberg A.G., Valentey S.D. et al. (2006). Dvizhenie regionov Rossii k innovatsionnoi ekonomike [Movement of Russian Regions Toward an Innovation Economy]. Moscow: Nauka.
  9. Gusarova M.S. (2021). Problems of innovative development in Russia: Factor analysis and institutional solutions. Voprosy innovatsionnoi ekonomiki=Russian Journal of Innovation Economics, 11(4), 1383–1402. DOI: 10.18334/vinec.11.4.113870 (in Russian).
  10. Kisurkin A.A. (2012). Factors influencing innovation development in the region and their classification by management levels. Sovremennye problemy nauki i obrazovaniya, 2. Available at: https://science-education.ru/ru/article/view?id=5762 (accessed: January 17, 2023; in Russian).
  11. Komkov N.I. (2017). Scientific and technological development: Limitations and opportunities. Problemy prognozirovaniya=Studies on Russian Economic Development, 5, 11–21 (in Russian).
  12. Krivchanskaya A.V. (2017). Features of the innovation market. Ekonomika i menedzhment innovatsionnykh tekhnologii=Economics and Innovations Management, 11. Available at: https://ekonomika.snauka.ru/2017/11/15430 (accessed: December 15, 2022; in Russian).
  13. Liu P., Zhang L., Tarbert H., Yan Z. (2021). Analysis on spatio-temporal characteristics and influencing factors of industrial green innovation efficiency – from the perspective of innovation value chain. Sustainability, 14(1), 342. DOI: 10.3390/su14010342
  14. Marabaeva L.V., Sokolov O.A., Gorin I.A., Kovalev A.E. (2020). Scenario forecast of the Russian territorial innovative clusters development based on the project approach. Innovatsii, 1, 86–93 (In Russian).
  15. Mariev O.S., Ignat'eva E.D., Naberezhneva E.P., Savin I.V. (2012). Econometric modeling of regional factors of production forces innovational development in the resources-dependent Russian economy. Vestnik UrFU. Seriya “Ekonomika i upravlenie”, 5, 133–145 (in Russian).
  16. Mikhailov A. S., Gorochnaya V. V., Khvalei D. V., Gumenyuk I. S. (2020). Innovative development of Russian coastal regions: North-south divergence. Baltiiskii region=Baltic Region, 12(3), 105–126. DOI: 10.5922/2079-8555-2020-3-7 (in Russian).
  17. Mityakov S.N., Mityakova O.I., Murashova N.A. (2017). Innovative development of the regions of Russia: Results of monitoring (on the example of the Privolzhsk federal district). Innovatsii, 8(226), 114–119 (in Russian).
  18. Moskvina O.S. (2019). Measuring the spatial polarization of development of innovative processes in Russia. Kreativnaya ekonomika=Creative Economy, 13(4), 685–692. DOI: 10.18334/ce.13.4.40602 (in Russian).
  19. Moskvina O.S., Makoveev V.N. (2019). Statistical analysis of spatial unevenness of Russian regions’ innovative development. Problems of Territory’s Development, 5(103), 124–137. DOI: 10.15838/ptd.2019.5.103.8 (in Russian).
  20. Myachin A.L. (2020). Innovation development: Review and estimation of heterogeneity. In: Proceedings of the 20th International Conference on Group Decision and Negotiation. Ryerson University, 22.1-22.10. Available at: https://publications.hse.ru/en/chapters/369954183
  21. Naumov I.V., Barybina A.Z. (2020). The spatial autoregression model of innovative development of Russian regions. Vestnik Tomskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. Ekonomika= Tomsk State University Journal of Economics, 52, 215–232. DOI: 10.17223/19988648/52/13 (in Russian).
  22. Nikitskaya E.F. (2020). Spatial irregularity in innovative development of macro-regions and regions of Russia. Federalizm=Federalism, 25(4)(100), 68–89. DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2020-4-68-89 (in Russian).
  23. Polina E.A., Solovyeva I.A. (2019). Methodology for comprehensive assessment of regional innovative development. R-Economy, 5(2), 79–91. DOI: 10.15826/recon.2019.5.2.009
  24. Smirnova O.P., Ponomareva A.O. (2020). Assessment of innovative development differentiation of Russian regions. International Transaction Journal of Engineering, Management, & Applied Sciences & Technologies, 11(13), 11A13P. DOI: 10.14456/ITJEMAST.2020.262/. Available at: http://TUENGR.COM/V11A/11A13P.pdf
  25. Wang K.-L., Zhang F.-Q. (2021). Investigating the spatial heterogeneity and correlation network of green innovation efficiency in China. Sustainability, 13(3), 1104. DOI: 10.3390/su13031104
  26. Wu K., Wang Y., Zhang H., Liu Y, Ye Y. (2021). Impact of the built environment on the spatial heterogeneity of regional innovation productivity: Evidence from the Pearl River Delta, China. Chin. Geogr. Sci., 31, 413–428. DOI: 10.1007/s11769-021-1198-4
  27. Ye Z., Zou C., Huang Y. (2022). Impact of heterogeneous spatial structure on regional innovation – from the perspectives of efficiency and gap. Sustainability, 14, 12095. DOI: 10.3390/su141912095
  28. Yong Gang X. (2023). Research on spatial heterogeneity of regional innovation convergence. ECIT 2022, AHE 11, 419–426. DOI: 10.2991/978-94-6463-005-3_41

Article views

all: , this year: , this month: , today:

Article downloads

all: , this year: , this month: , today:

View full article