RuEn

Journal section "Theoretical and methodological issues"

Scenario-Based Approach to Modeling Bankruptcy Risks for Enterprises in Various Industries

Naumov I.V., Nikulina N.L., Bychkova A.A.

Volume 17, Issue 2, 2024

Naumov I.V., Nikulina N.L., Bychkova A.A. (2024). Scenario-based approach to modeling bankruptcy risks for enterprises in various industries. Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast, 17(2), 166–186. DOI: 10.15838/esc.2024.2.92.9

DOI: 10.15838/esc.2024.2.92.9

Abstract   |   Authors   |   References
  1. Batkovskiy A.M., Bulava I.V., Mingaliev K.N., Fomina A.V. (2016). Prognozirovanie riska finansovoy nesostoyatelnosti kompaniy oboronno-promyshlennogo kompleksa // Voprosy radioelektroniki. № 6. Seriya OT. Vyp. 5. S. 108–120.
  2. Bogdanova T.K., Alekseeva Yu.A. (2011). Prognozirovanie veroyatnosti bankrotstva predpriyatiy s uchetom izmeneniya finansovyh pokazateley v dinamike // Biznes-informatika. № 1 (15). S. 50–60.
  3. Evstropov M.V. (2008). Ocenka vozmozhnostey prognozirovaniya bankrotstva predpriyatiy v Rossii // Vestnik OGU. № 85. S. 25–32.
  4. Zayceva O.P. (1998). Antikrizisnyy menedzhment v rossiyskoy firme // Aval (Sibirskaya finansovaya shkola). № 11–12.
  5. Ivanova E.V., Efremkova T.I. (2020). Metodologicheskie predposylki razvitiya modeli prognozirovaniya bankrotstva // Vestnik Altayskoy akademii znaniy. № 4. S. 336–343.
  6. Ismailova P.A., Evdokimov S.Yu., Goloveckiy N.Ya. (2019). Ocenki finansovoy nestabilnosti s primeneniem instrumentariya prognozirovaniya finansovoy nesostoyatelnosti (bankrotstva) predpriyatiy na regionalnom rynke // Vestnik Evraziyskoy nauki. № 6. S. 1–12.
  7. Kazakova N.A., Leschinskaya A.F., Sivkova A.E. (2018). Ocenka i prognozirovanie riska bankrotstva gorno-metallurgicheskih kompaniy // Ekonomika v promyshlennosti. T. 11. № 3. S. 261–272. DOI: 10.17073/2072-1633-2018-3-261-272
  8. Lyutova E.S. (2011). Ekonomiko-matematicheskoe modelirovanie prognozirovaniya bankrotstva metallurgicheskih predpriyatiy // Problemy ekonomiki i yuridicheskoy praktiki. № 2. S. 362–365.
  9. Mogilat A.N. (2019). Ocenka finansovoy ustoychivosti rossiyskih promyshlennyh kompaniy, ili, o chem govoryat bankrotstva // Voprosy ekonomiki. № 3. S. 101–118.
  10. Pechenskaya-Polischuk M.A., Malyshev M.K. (2021). Metallurgicheskie korporacii i gosudarstvo: tendencii finansovogo vzaimodeystviya poslednego desyatiletiya // Ekonomicheskie i socialnye peremeny: fakty, tendencii, prognoz. T. 14. № 3. S. 150–166. DOI: 10.15838/esc.2021.3.75.9
  11. Fedorova E.A., Lazarev M.P., Fedin A.V. (2016). Prognozirovanie bankrotstva predpriyatiya s uchetom faktorov vneshney sredy // Finansovaya analitika: problemy i resheniya. № 42. S. 2–12.
  12. Fedorova E.A., Timofeev Ya.V. (2015). Razrabotka modeley prognozirovaniya bankrotstva rossiyskih predpriyatiy dlya otrasley stroitelstva i selskogo hozyaystva // Finansy i kredit. № 32 (656). S. 2–10.
  13. Fedorova E.A., Hrustova L.E., Chekrizov D.V. (2018). Otraslevye osobennosti primeneniya modeley prognozirovaniya bankrotstva predpriyatiya // Strategicheskie resheniya i risk-menedzhment. № 1 (106). S. 64–71.
  14. Shatkovskaya E.G., Fayzulloev A.H. (2016). Bankrotstvo organizacii, ego ponyatie i metody prognozirovaniya // Fundamentalnye issledovaniya. № 5. S. 433–440.
  15. Shirinkina E.V. (2015). Prognozirovanie riska nesostoyatelnosti predpriyatiya v usloviyah neopredelennosti // Vestnik Permskogo universiteta. Ser. «Ekonomika». № 3 (26). S. 137–144.
  16. Adamowicz K., Noga T. (2018) Identification of financial ratios applicable in the construction of a prediction model for bankruptcy of wood industry enterprises. Folia Forestalia Polonica, Series A, 60(1), 61–72.
  17. Alifiah M.N. (2014). Prediction of financial distress companies in the trading and services sector in Malaysia using macroeconomic variables. Procedia – Social and Behavioral Sciences, 129, 90–98.
  18. Altman E. (1968). Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy. Journal of Finance, 23(4), 589–609.
  19. Beaver W. (1966). Financial ratios as predictors of failure. Empirical research in accounting selected studies. Journal of Accounting Research (Suppl.), 4, 71–111.
  20. Conan J., Holder M. (1979). Explicative Variables of Performance and Management Control: Doctoral Thesis. Paris: CERG, Universite Paris Dauphine.
  21. Cultrera L., Brédart X. (2016). Bankruptcy prediction: The case of Belgian SMEs. Review of Accounting and Finance, 15(1), 101–119.
  22. Fulmer J., Moon J., Gavin T., Erwin M. (1984). A bankruptcy classification model for small firms. Journal of Commercial Bank Lending, July, 25–37.
  23. Kaczmarek J., Alonso S.L.N., Sokołowski A., Fijorek K., Denkowska S. (2021). Financial threat profiles of industrial enterprises in Poland. Oeconomia Copernicana, 12(2), 463–487.
  24. Kangari R. (1988). Business failure in construction industry. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 114(2), 172–190. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(1988)114:2(172)
  25. Karas M., Reznakova M. (2015). Predicting bankruptcy under alternative conditions: The effect of a change in industry and time period on the accuracy of the model. Procedia – Social and Behavioral Sciences, 213, 397–403. DOI: 10.1016/j.sbspro.2015.11.557
  26. Kloster B.T., Jacobsen H.D. (2005). What influences the number of bankruptcies? Economic Bulletin, 76(4), 191–211.
  27. Legault J. (1987). C.A. – Score, a warning system for small business failures. Bilanas, June, 29–31.
  28. Ohlson J.A. (1980). Financial ratios and the probabilistic prediction of bankruptcy. Journal of Accounting Research, 18, 109–131.
  29. Petersen C., Plenborg T. (2012). Financial Statement Analysis: Valuation, Credit Analysis and Executive Compensation. Pearson Education Limited.
  30. Qin Z., Chen Y. (2010). The bankruptcy prediction study under the financial crisis: The case of Chinese export-oriented enterprises. In: Proceedings – 2010 2nd IEEE International Conference on Information and Financial Engineering, ICIFE, 301–306, 56093072010.
  31. Taffler R.J., Tisshaw H.J. (1977). Going, going, gone – four factors which predict... Accountancy, 88, 50–54.
  32. Wadhwani S.B. (1986). Inflation, bankruptcy default premia and the stock market. The Economic Journal, 96(381), 120–138.
  33. Zmijewski M.E. (1984). Methodological issues related to the estimation of financial distress prediction models. Journal of Accounting Research, 22, 59–82.

Article views

all: , this year: , this month: , today:

Article downloads

all: , this year: , this month: , today: