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Journal section "Modeling and prediction"

Forecasting of indicators of the region’s socio-economic development

Ketova K.V., Kasatkina E.V., Nasredinova D.D.

4 (28), 2013

Ketova K.V., Kasatkina E.V., Nasredinova D.D. Forecasting of indicators of the region’s socio-economic development. Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast, 2013, no. 4 (28)

Abstract   |   Authors   |   References
The article analyses the statistical data on the volumes of investment in different spheres of the socioeconomic system of the Udmurt Republic in the 1996 – 2010 period. The values of production and human capitals are predicted for the next five years with regard to the forecasting of the dynamics of investment volume based on economic and mathematical models. The article resolves the task of modeling dynamics of the gross regional product in the Udmurt Republic by applying production function constructed on the basis of statistical methods of correlation and regression analysis, and the issue concerning the forecasting of the dynamics of production and human capitals

Keywords

forecasting, human capital, investment, production assets, gross regional product

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