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Journal section "Social development"

Analysis of Migration Flows of the Population of the Vologda Oblast Districts

Panov M.M.

4 (40), 2015

Panov M.M. Analysis of Migration Flows of the Population of the Vologda Oblast Districts. Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast, 2015, no. 4 (40), pp. 124-138. DOI: 10.15838/esc/2015.4.40.8

DOI: 10.15838/esc/2015.4.40.8

Abstract   |   Authors   |   References
The article presents the research on the main directions and scale of migration in municipal districts of the Vologda Oblast and considers the main types of migration and the specifics of their statistical accounting. The data by Rosstat served as a basis upon which a general analysis of migration dynamics in the Vologda Oblast districts was carried out; and the article presents its periodization. Three main periods are defined: the “migration shock” of 1991–1999 after the collapse of the Soviet Union, the migration stability of 2000–2008 and the post-crisis rural out-migration that began in 2009 and is increasing year by year. At the same time, gross migration indicators have shown high sensitivity to significant socioeconomic change, in particular, to the economic crises of 1999 and 2008. The article describes the main age and gender characteristics of migrants, it has been determined that the most active migrants are girls aged 15–29, who move from rural to urban settlements. In general, it is the young people aged 15–34 who are most likely to migrate. The author has found out that most of the Vologda Oblast districts are characterized by a higher outflow of the population, which is in some places restrained by a relative migration attractiveness of a number of areas. The author has found out that most districts of the Oblast are characterized by a higher outflow of the population, which is sometimes restrained by relative migration attractiveness of some areas. The author highlights the region’s territories with the highest migration attraction; in the long run they can play the role of “growth points” in the region; these territories comprise Velikoustyugsky and Chagodoshchensky districts, as well as several districts of the central part of the Vologda Oblast – Ust-Kubinsky and Vologodsky. The author also points out the territories that suffered the most from out-migration: Kichmengsko-Gorodetsky, Vashkinsky, Babushkinsky, Nyuksensky, and Kharovsky districts. Timely and targeted support provided to these territories will help to curb out-migration and thus contribute to an even and sustainable development of the region

Keywords

migration, municipal districts, rural area, growth points

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