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Journal section "Editorial"

The Disturbing Future of 2024

Ilyin V.A., Morev M.V.

Volume 11, Issue 3, 2018

Ilyin V.A., Morev M.V. The disturbing future of 2024. Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast, 2018, vol. 11, no. 3, pp. 3–24. DOI: 10.15838/esc.2018.3.57.1

DOI: 10.15838/esc.2018.3.57.1

Abstract   |   Authors   |   References
The article considers prospects for the implementation of Presidential Decree 204 “On national goals and strategic objectives of development of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2024” dated May 7, 2018 and for the implementation of key guidelines announced by the head of state in his Address to the Federal Assembly on March 1, 2018. We considered expert assessments, analyzed the Russian President’s annual phone-in session with the nation (the “Direct Line”) held on June 7, 2018, and discussed the results of international research and all-Russian sociological surveys. All this allows us to conclude that if the composition of the Cabinet remains virtually unchanged for the next six years, it will be extremely difficult to implement ambitious plans for the internal development of the country. According to many experts, if we want to achieve breakthrough development, it is necessary to change the Government radically. This is dictated by the current geopolitical situation and the expectations of the general population. Nevertheless, at the beginning of his fourth presidential term Vladimir Putin has not taken such steps; consequently, it is unlikely that he will fulfill his election promises. It rather allows us to say that “oligarchic capitalism” will continue to dominate in the system of public administration

Keywords

public opinion; national security; president; public administration efficiency; “May decrees”; President

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